الجمعة، 23 يوليو 2010

[caption id="" align="alignleft" width="240" caption="Rumors have been rampant on a change in leadership for months, as Kim Jong-il's health is questioned; photo credit: llee_wu"]North Korea Gift Museum[/caption]

I am certain that the profilers assigned to the State Department must be folicly impaired by pulling out all their hair, trying to come up with an accurate profile of the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-il.

The “Dear Leader,” as he is called, does not follow conventional behavior patterns, and now there is dangerous saber rattling coming from the peninsula. Despite this, our intelligence is almost in the dark not knowing the motives and reasons for their actions.

Business Insider is reporting that the United States now has a very size-able fleet and air power taking part in our joint scheduled war games with the South Koreans. This joint military exercise, between America and South Korea, is said to be the main cause of the threats and the bellicose language coming out of North Korea.

Compounding the problem for western intelligence agencies is the fact that there may indeed be a change in the regime’s leadership, with the Jong-il's son, Kim Jong Un, taking the reins of power.

The intelligence dossier on Kim Jong Un is even sparser than that of his father, and we may be seeing the young successor doing what drug dealers do when they become the top dog...send a message to let the rest of the players know who is in charge, and how he is going to conduct business.

The dearth of information on Kim Jong Un is so bad that it is his Japanese chef, who prepared his meals when he attended a private school in Switzerland, has provided the most recent information on the heir to North Korean leadership. But this data is dated, and several years have passed since he worked for the successor.

Jong-il is said to be gravely ill and many may be jockeying for power; this may be the cause for the recent executions of some top senior officials who might have been a challenge to the young son.

Diplomats are hoping that China - who has much influence over the North Koreans because the former sustains the latter with food and other necessities - might play an important role, and convince both sides to keep their powder dry.

China is said to enjoy the role North Korea is playing by keeping the U.S. occupied and off balance. President Nixon, with an assist from Kissinger, was a master at this… pitting China against the old Soviet Union.

I hope that the thought of war will trigger the Chinese to engage in diplomatic action, so to thwart hostilities. China’s incentive to prevent war might be predicated on the fact that if there is war on the peninsula, it will cause millions of North Korean refugees to pour into China.

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